Sean t rcp twitter.

“@NickRiccardi @billscher $100B (at last estimate) for something that may or may not have an appreciable impact on NY-SF traffic isn't really cheapskating. It's like 1/5th of the cost of building the entire interstate system!”

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Sean T at RCP is a free elf. @SeanTrende. It described it as being 100% in, but in fact, those precincts are partially reporting. There are eight counties still at least …9 Kas 2022 ... Live updating with the latest developments from the 2022 midterm elections, including the results in Arizona and Nevada, as Democrats ...“@sahilkapur @RobGeorge @EsotericCD On 2), I never understood the white hot, burning hatred of Buttigieg among younger progressives. But it is very much there.”Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart.01 Nov 2022 23:09:39

“Put differently, if you had placed Kennedy on the 1968 Warren Court, he would have appeared to be a freakishly right-of-center justice. For that matter, Souter probably would have voted with Harlan, who held down the right flank of that Court. 6/”

“Anyway,that's why VIII is the worst main storyline film. It destroys too much of the main storyline to leave any hope of wrapping things up in the final film. In fact, if I learned that Johnson was intentionally sabotaging the series, it would make more sense than what came out.”

Recovering Att'y. Married to. @emytrende. , dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. Sean T at RCP is a free elf. 2020/03/19/coronavirus-effect-economy-life-society-analysis-covid-135579.“This histogram of Ohio precincts by Democratic share of the two-party vote really shows the Democrats' problem in a nutshell: Democrats have a significant number of precincts where Biden got 75% of the vote or more; Trump has comparatively few.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersSean T at RCP is a free elf. @SeanTrende. This is sort of how I felt seeing some of the shifts in Appalachia in 2010, or blue collar areas in 2016. Except this I …Where there isn't a central constitutional argument, it isn't surprising that these justices might look askance at modifying Gingles. 2/ May 16 • 10 tweets • 3 min read

Nov 10, 2022 · “One of the quiet stories under the hood is that Republicans are looking like they'll win the popular vote. Probably a popular vote swing of 5% (depending on how CA votes work out), swinging about 2% of the chamber. IOW, the generic polls are likely to be about spot on. Why? 1/”

Dr. Sean T at RCP, Ph.D.'s Threads – Thread Reader App. Aug 9 • 14 tweets • 3 min read. Save as PDF. Today is my son Judson's 16th Birthday.

A new book about Sen. Mitt Romney details his interactions with Fox News host Sean Hannity. Romney and Hannity were allies, but the TV host turned on the senator over his anti-MAGA posture. Romney ...“My take after three years in a poli sci grad program reading "the literature": People should use "suggests" a whole lot more, "demonstrates," "proves," "shows," "confirms" less. You can just give me my doctorate now for that compelling insight.”“@ThePlumLineGS @billscher So I'm pretty comfortable saying they'd have gotten something through absent the strictures of reconciliation. And remember, with regular order you don't have to go all-or-nothing. You can do a *ton* through appropriations riders, which give nervous members cover.”Log in. Sign up08 Sep 2022 18:37:23Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart.

“But in a wave year, these will come into varying degrees of play. So if the generic ballot starts to reach R+6 or so (which is probably about right if Biden stays in the low 40s) you're suddenly in a scenario where about 30 seats suddenly come into play. 5/”“Think of it this way: We're in a river channel right now with levies on either side, and the river is rising. As long as we stay in the channel seat losses will be surprisingly muted. But if the river rises much higher, all hell breaks loose …From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll. Practice here first or read more on our help page! More from @SeanTrende. Sean T at RCP ...“Gen X is gonna get skipped over for presidents until we're 80 years old like the Silents. No respect.”“@billscher @ThePlumLineGS I still think the biggest threats to Ds in a non-filibuster universe are things that can get to the core of their power infrastructure: national right to work, school vouchers, limits on public sector unions, tort reform, etc.”“@JenRodbowers @BenjySarlin The R won by 10 points in a district that went for Romney by 2 and Clinton by 7. I don't want to overstate the importance but I don't think you can just dismiss it as "the district leaned R anyway" either.”“OTOH, we could also easily see something like this,without getting too aggressive (234D-201R).”

“I don't know that there is much more that we realistically could have done in Afghanistan, but it's just really sad to watch this if you're old enough to remember ink-stained fingers, Karzai in his cool hat, and the general air of hopefulness that once prevailed there.”26 Ara 2020 ... I'm going to create a meme roundup that is so self-indulgent...

Since Twitter seems reasonably likely to go away in the next couple of years, my 2c: Obvs the site is miserable, but there's an entire generation of top-notch young analysts like @JMilesColeman who probably would have gone unnoticed but for Twitter. 1/ 31 Oct 2022 01:42:44 pic.twitter.com/xNtqwDFe0B — Sean T at RCP is a free elf (@SeanTrende) November 9, 2022. In House races rated as tossup or "lean" by 538, Democrats …6:46 PM · Aug 28, 2021 · Twitter Web App. 98. Retweets. 354. Quote Tweets. 395. Likes. Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende ...Mar 1, 2016 · Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“The trouble is that in 95% of the country traveling by train is inefficient to the point of being a genuinely dumb choice.”“Put differently, if you had placed Kennedy on the 1968 Warren Court, he would have appeared to be a freakishly right-of-center justice. For that matter, Souter probably would have voted with Harlan, who held down the right flank of that Court. 6/”

Sean T at RCP is a free elf. @SeanTrende. It described it as being 100% in, but in fact, those precincts are partially reporting. There are eight counties still at least …

“Aside from the expense, this is a significant risk to human life in a disproportionately elderly body that already has some known cases. If he does this, the House should expel him (and anyone else who goes along with him).”

In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“It just drives me nuts when people say "the lesson of the Great Recession is the danger of doing too little rather than too much." It was just a different type of downturn. 5/”“Alright, Florida (mostly), Georgia, IN-01, Western KY, SC, VT and VA are on deck. Then at 8, all hell breaks loose.”Sean Strickland has a very straightforward opinion on his first possible title defense.. The next UFC middleweight title fight was seemingly decided at UFC 294 in Abu Dhabi this past Saturday ...Apr 16, 2021 · In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users “Put differently, if you had placed Kennedy on the 1968 Warren Court, he would have appeared to be a freakishly right-of-center justice. For that matter, Souter probably would have voted with Harlan, who held down the right flank of that Court. 6/”Twitter is a popular social network in the U.S, with an audience reach of 77.75 million users, and a global advertising audience of 187 million. The first step to advertising on Twitter is creating a Twitter ads account. Go to Twitter.com a...If you are a fan of political commentary and news analysis, tuning in to watch Sean Hannity live can be a valuable experience. When you watch Sean Hannity live, you gain access to real-time updates on breaking news stories and current event...In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users

“McAuliffe starting to get some more results above the line. Also, moving the threshold up to 85% reporting. City of Richmond hasn't started to come in yet, and Fairfax is still largely outstanding. This is still very interesting.”Nov 8, 2016 · Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende. ... Still early, but she's running ahead of Obama in 7 of the 8 IN counties reporting. 11:50 PM · Nov 8, 2016 · Twitter Web Client. 225. “I've been mulling over some of the defenses of Australia's anti-COVID regime from liberal friends, and the ACLU's defense of vaccine mandates. I can't decide if this is a one-off, or some greater shift in American liberalism. 1/”“@varadmehta Probably more of the latter. The D is a touch behind Biden's vote share. The independent that got ~3% is a former GOP statewide officeholder turned libertarian turned independent.”Instagram:https://instagram. espn nfl pro picksall culturesmission of communitydonald j trump desk “One final thought on the Clinton-Comey thing. It's fashionable to refer to "just needing to flip 40,000 votes across three states"”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users yoturkish.comparker bruan “Even just having Snoke hint that there's a larger force behind him, and maybe having Ren meet Palpatine at the end of Episode VIII as a cliffhanger and then giving the explanation of how in IX would fix quite a bit. And that then brings us to VIII. 9/” kansas basketball 2021 22 schedule “So many other low points, like horses on Star Destroyers, or Chewie fake dying, or C3P0 fake losing his memory, or the weird Kimiji storyline, or a Palpatine appropriating the Skywalker name. But here's the thing, most of the problems were not of Ep. IX's making. 7/”“"Safe spaces," for example, is a HORRIBLE branding tool. Everyone has a place where they want to be able to be themselves. It's why so many married men take pride and have a strong sense of ownership in their "man caves." 2/”In this conversation. Verified account