Sean t rcp twitter.
“And there's a debate about this. As I said, I sort of defend a 0.05 cutoff because standards are good, and it keeps people from offering up p-values of .33 or whatever and labeling that "knowledge" when you'd see …
“Aside from the expense, this is a significant risk to human life in a disproportionately elderly body that already has some known cases. If he does this, the House should expel him (and anyone else who goes along with him).”. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende , dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. Sean T at RCP is a free elf 2020/03/19/coronavirus-effect-economy-life-society-analysis-covid-135579Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart.Log in. Sign upHome » Tweets to Sean T at RCP. Tweets to Sean T at RCP. Twitter handle: @seantrende. Name: Sean T at RCP. Location: Followers: 46728. Bio: ... Co-Author, Almanac Am. Pols. 2014. Recovering Attorney. If you think this has a happy ending, you haven't been paying attention. Tweets to this user: From @DLeonhardt Sun, Sep 15, 2019 at 5:18 pm.
Sean T at RCP is a free elf. @SeanTrende. This is sort of how I felt seeing some of the shifts in Appalachia in 2010, or blue collar areas in 2016. Except this I …
“OTOH, we could also easily see something like this,without getting too aggressive (234D-201R).”
Recovering Att'y. Married to. @emytrende. , dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. Sean T at RCP is a free elf. 2020/03/19/coronavirus-effect-economy-life-society-analysis-covid-135579.“In 2012 and 2016, the mantra was to treat polls as akin to God's spoken word. The polls were unusually good in 2008, and of course we had Nate Silver's breakthrough going 100 for 102 or whatever (in his defense, Silver was always forthright about poll uncertainty) 2/”“I've gotten a few questions about the "split decision" narrative, and whether it should change if Ds pull out wins in FL-Sen and AZ-Sen (good chance in both!). This gets to one of my biggest pet peeves about elections analysis and sports analysis. 1/”Sean Trende is senior elections analyst for RealClearPolitics. He is a co-author of the 2014 Almanac of American Politics and author of The Lost Majority. He can be reached at strende ...“The trouble is that in 95% of the country traveling by train is inefficient to the point of being a genuinely dumb choice.”
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“@ThePlumLineGS @billscher So I'm pretty comfortable saying they'd have gotten something through absent the strictures of reconciliation. And remember, with regular order you don't have to go all-or-nothing. You can do a *ton* through appropriations riders, which give nervous members cover.”
It's pretty amazing that we have a grand total of 3 decent, non interest-group sponsored polls of Fetterman-Oz. 08 Aug 2022 “There are obviously answers to all of this -- if there weren't I would not have led with him losing four of five times or so. The point is, though, that he's not THAT far off where he needs to be to be back in this. 9/9”“The trouble is that in 95% of the country traveling by train is inefficient to the point of being a genuinely dumb choice.”“I think a lot of problems with Rhaenys Targaryen not incinerating the Greens comes from the weird gender politics the show has embraced. One of the interesting thing about GOT was it wasn't afraid to make the female characters as crazy and murderous as the men. 1/”“Anyway, this might be a one-off thing. I hope it's a one off thing, and not another example of liberalism, having become ascendant in American politics, abandoning some of the principles that enabled it to begin its ascent out of fear that something else might replace it. 6/”Jun 1, 2022 · “My take: You can make a case for Phantom Menace largely because, as Machete Order proves, you can pretty much watch the entire series without it and not miss anything. But it isn't a horrible movie, though I'm the weirdo who sort of liked the Palpatine political machinations.” “The trouble is that in 95% of the country traveling by train is inefficient to the point of being a genuinely dumb choice.”
“@Nate_Cohn Yeah, part of the problem is the modern right's disdain for academia/anti-Intellectual-ism, combined with the fact that the CRT stuff has a fair amount of overlap with traditional racial liberalism stuff. So it's easy to lump them together.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“@speechboy71 I can absolutely buy he's solid. Honestly, I just have a lawyer friend on Facebook claiming this is obviously unethical of Mueller, and I'm trying to figure out independently what the issues are. I don't know why people are going DefCon 1 …In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersSean T at RCP @SeanTrende · Nov 3, 2021 Replying to @SeanTrende suggesting that Trump's '20 gains among Hispanic are potentially sticking. Swings from 2020 are in working class townships, suggesting continued movement for voters there. If there's a silver lining for Ds, its that the wealthier townships in the northwest didn't move as much.In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“@kkondik Yeah, the shift in the non-urban, non -Deep South over the past 20 years is probably the most consequential — and least well understood — shifts of our lifetime.”
Log in. Sign up“One final thought on the Clinton-Comey thing. It's fashionable to refer to "just needing to flip 40,000 votes across three states"”
Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "For people under 16 this is less deadly than the flu. Not even on my radar of considerations. And as I said, in a few weeks if you haven't …Sean Trende is the Senior Elections Analyst for RealClearPolitics. He is the author of "The Lost Majority: Why the Future of Government Is Up for Grabs and Who Will Take It," and co-authored the ...“@KevinMKruse It's possible, but he'd have to be pretty sure the leak would flip a vote, or think that it would blunt the impact of the decision in June by spreading out the news cycle (the latter is more plausible imo).”Erick is a Research Hydrologist at the USGS Geology, Minerals, Energy, and Geophysics Science Center. He specializes in the development of methods and tools ...In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersAre you a fan of Sean Hannity and don’t want to miss out on his latest episodes? With the advancements in technology, you no longer have to rely solely on your television to catch up with your favorite shows.In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersTwitter is one of the most popular social media platforms out there — and even though it’s relaxed the 140-character limit a little bit, there’s still not a ton of room to get your point across, so effective marketing is crucial.In this conversation. Verified account
“One final thought on the Clinton-Comey thing. It's fashionable to refer to "just needing to flip 40,000 votes across three states"”
“@DavidNir @JMilesColeman @grace_panetta Larry Pressler once walked into a closet in a committee hearing instead of the exit and rather than admit his mistake he stayed in the closet for the duration of the hearing. Also, hard to believe that South Dakota was a 3-point race that year!”
“@nataliemj10 @rp_griffin Oh I think it's probably maybe 5-10% of the population (though overrepresented on social media). But I also think the motivator for a large chunk of that isn't really safety.”Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende. ... Still early, but she's running ahead of Obama in 7 of the 8 IN counties reporting. 11:50 PM · Nov 8, 2016 · Twitter Web Client. 225.16 Şub 2020 ... If Bernie Sanders isn't the Democratic front-runner at this point, the word has little meaning.“@DavidNir @JMilesColeman @grace_panetta Larry Pressler once walked into a closet in a committee hearing instead of the exit and rather than admit his mistake he stayed in the closet for the duration of the hearing. Also, hard to believe that South Dakota was a 3-point race that year!”Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "Democrats maintaining control of ... ... Log inhttps://twitter.com/amyewalter/status/1545114625141837826 If you look at what Reagan was elected to do: defeat the Soviet Union/reignite American exceptionalism, lower taxes, slow the pace of social change, defeat inflation, etc., it was all accomplished by 1992.“Trying to think of a more consequential shift than Barrett for Ginsburg. Maybe Black for Van Devanter in the 30s, but Roberts already flipped. Thomas for Marshall? Ginsburg-for-White next year cancels, Souter goes left.Maybe Goldberg for Frankfurter, giving Warren 5 solid votes.”“Any of the remaining three presents a strong case, to my mind. I don't think it's AotC though. OK, fine, "I don't like sand" is arguably the worst or second worst line in all Star Wars history. But if you pull the Padme/Anakin romance and ninja Yoda stuff, it isn't terrible. 2/”Nov 8, 2016 · Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende. ... Still early, but she's running ahead of Obama in 7 of the 8 IN counties reporting. 11:50 PM · Nov 8, 2016 · Twitter Web Client. 225. “Aside from the expense, this is a significant risk to human life in a disproportionately elderly body that already has some known cases. If he does this, the House should expel him (and anyone else who goes along with him).”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“I think a lot of problems with Rhaenys Targaryen not incinerating the Greens comes from the weird gender politics the show has embraced. One of the interesting thing about GOT was it wasn't afraid to make the female characters as …
Log in. Sign up“@sahilkapur @RobGeorge @EsotericCD On 2), I never understood the white hot, burning hatred of Buttigieg among younger progressives. But it is very much there.”What occurred wasn’t a failure of the polls. As with Brexit, it was a failure of punditry. Pundits saw Clinton with a 1.9 percent lead in Pennsylvania and assumed she would win. The correct ...Log in. Sign upInstagram:https://instagram. dockers signature khaki relaxed fit pleatedrooms to go store near mecarolina time now2008 kansas jayhawks basketball roster “This is really straightforward, and it's one of those things that separates serious people from unserious ones in my mind. Heck, even if the blame ultimately falls with the GOP voters, there's no justification for becoming a party to this loon potentially winning. Not that hard.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users welding classes kansas citypublic management jobs Log in. Sign up what was a jayhawker “I think these analyses provide useful context on where this election stands. The biggest limitation on these analyses isn't that the GOP holds a large number of seats to begin. It is that they describe linear relationships between seat gain which probably don't hold this cycle.”“Even just having Snoke hint that there's a larger force behind him, and maybe having Ren meet Palpatine at the end of Episode VIII as a cliffhanger and then giving the explanation of how in IX would fix quite a bit. And that then brings us to VIII. 9/”“It just drives me nuts when people say "the lesson of the Great Recession is the danger of doing too little rather than too much." It was just a different type of downturn. 5/”